Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000792 0.000903 0.001022 0.001156 0.001303 0.001460 0.001638
2025-02-09 0.000604 0.000756 0.000929 0.001137 0.001380 0.001652 0.001980
2025-02-16 0.000499 0.000666 0.000864 0.001113 0.001415 0.001766 0.002201
2025-02-23 0.000436 0.000615 0.000837 0.001126 0.001488 0.001920 0.002470
2025-03-02 0.000385 0.000572 0.000812 0.001134 0.001548 0.002056 0.002715
2025-03-09 0.000328 0.000513 0.000760 0.001102 0.001554 0.002120 0.002870
2025-03-16 0.000280 0.000462 0.000712 0.001070 0.001554 0.002173 0.003009
2025-03-23 0.000250 0.000431 0.000690 0.001068 0.001591 0.002273 0.003208
2025-03-30 0.000224 0.000405 0.000669 0.001067 0.001629 0.002372 0.003407
2025-04-06 0.000199 0.000376 0.000644 0.001056 0.001650 0.002450 0.003577
2025-04-13 0.000174 0.000346 0.000614 0.001036 0.001657 0.002505 0.003718
2025-04-20 0.000163 0.000337 0.000614 0.001059 0.001723 0.002643 0.003973
2025-04-27 0.000151 0.000325 0.000610 0.001077 0.001785 0.002778 0.004228
2025-05-04 0.000133 0.000301 0.000584 0.001059 0.001793 0.002838 0.004381
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000277 0.000556 0.001037 0.001793 0.002883 0.004514
2025-05-18 0.000108 0.000266 0.000551 0.001049 0.001844 0.003005 0.004755
2025-05-25 0.000099 0.000255 0.000543 0.001057 0.001888 0.003115 0.004982
2025-06-01 0.000085 0.000233 0.000514 0.001027 0.001872 0.003136 0.005081
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000212 0.000485 0.000996 0.001853 0.003151 0.005172
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000201 0.000474 0.000994 0.001879 0.003235 0.005362
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000191 0.000464 0.000993 0.001907 0.003321 0.005557
2025-06-29 0.000054 0.000180 0.000449 0.000983 0.001919 0.003382 0.005716
2025-07-06 0.000047 0.000166 0.000430 0.000964 0.001914 0.003418 0.005837